Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B? Odds jumped to 100% on Jul 15, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B? On , the market’s odds jumped from 90¢ to 99.5¢ (+9.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from livesquawk. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match90¢
+5m90¢
+30m99¢
+1h99.5¢
1h move+9.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yeslivesquawk99%match
$MS Morgan Stanley Q2 2026 Earnings • -Rev. $21.35B (est $19.58b) • -FICC Sales & Trading Rev $2.46b (est $2.56b) • -Equities Sales & Trading Rev $6.30b (est $4.47b) • -Total Deposits $446.07 (est $432.75b) • -Wealth Management Net Rev. $8.86b (est $8.68b) • -Non-Interest Expenses $13.90b (est $13.28b) • -Provision For Credit Losses 98m (est $76.8m) • -Institutional Investment Banking Rev. $2.44b (est $22b) • -Compensation Expenses $8.19b (est $8.15b)

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$7K

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Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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