Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Odds fell to 2% on Aug 26, 2026

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Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 49.5¢ to 2.2¢ (-47.3 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iran Semi-Official ILNA.

How did the odds move?

At match49.5¢
+5m49.9¢
+30m3¢
+1h2.2¢
+24h1.5¢
1h move-47.3 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 26, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 49.2¢ → 2.2¢-47 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media

What moved the odds?

YesIran Semi-Official ILNA96%match
Qatari Prime Minister to Visit Tehran Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Qatar, is scheduled to visit Tehran soon. This visit will probably take place tomorrow, Thursday, within the framework of mediation between Iran and the United States. In the past few days, the Pakistani army chief and Omani foreign minister have also visited Tehran within the same framework. @ilnair

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$569

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Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.