Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Odds fell to 63% on Jul 7, 2026
Open
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? On , the market’s odds fell from 81.5¢ to 62.5¢ (-19 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from telegraph.co.uk.
How did the odds move?
81.5¢
81.5¢
82.5¢
62.5¢
59.5¢
-19 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 7, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 81.5¢ → 57.5¢-24 ptsafter a signal from cnn.com
- 81.5¢ → 56.5¢-25 ptsafter a signal from Scripps Reporter
- 72.5¢ → 58¢-14.5 ptsafter a signal from cbseveningnews
- 72¢ → 58¢-14 ptsafter a signal from CNBC Reporter
- 71.5¢ → 55¢-16.5 ptsafter a signal from washingtonpost.com
What moved the odds?
Neutraltelegraph.co.uk99%match
‘Prove Mitch McConnell is alive,” Maga demands
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES13¢
NO88¢
$1.5M
Follow this market
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.