Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Odds fell to 67% on Aug 26, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? On , the market’s odds fell from 78.9¢ to 66.9¢ (-11.9 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 5-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match78.9¢
+5m55.6¢
+30m63.9¢
+1h66.9¢
1h move-11.9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 26, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 57.9¢ → 68.4¢+10.6 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 43.4¢ → 75.5¢+32.2 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 61¢ → 92.5¢+31.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 68.9¢ → 96.1¢+27.2 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 27.2¢ → 98.2¢+71 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 34.9¢ → 98.7¢+63.8 ptsafter a signal from CNN Reporter
  • 49.2¢ → 98.7¢+49.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 60.3¢ → 98.9¢+38.6 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 61.9¢ → 97.6¢+35.7 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 57.8¢ → 98.3¢+40.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)

What moved the odds?

Part of a 5-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NeutralDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 3% in): Oklahoma Governor Republican Runoff • • Gentner Drummond (R): 5,883 (53.0%) • Mike Mazzei (R): 5,217 (47.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 6% in): Oklahoma Governor Republican Runoff • • Gentner Drummond (R): 12,781 (54.1%) • Mike Mazzei (R): 10,853 (45.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 7% in): Oklahoma Governor Republican Runoff • • Gentner Drummond (R): 13,836 (54.0%) • Mike Mazzei (R): 11,774 (46.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 10% in): Oklahoma Governor Republican Runoff • • Gentner Drummond (R): 19,988 (53.3%) • Mike Mazzei (R): 17,521 (46.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 14% in): Oklahoma Governor Republican Runoff • • Gentner Drummond (R): 27,935 (52.3%) • Mike Mazzei (R): 25,459 (47.7%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$340K

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Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.