Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? Odds fell to 2% on Aug 12, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? On , the market’s odds fell from 11¢ to 2.2¢ (-8.8 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match11¢
+5m3¢
+30m0.6¢
+1h2.2¢
+24h0.1¢
1h move-8.8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NeutralDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): Minnesota Governor Republican Primary • • Lisa Demuth (R): 206 (39.9%) • Mike Lindell (R): 179 (34.7%) • Kendall Qualls (R): 114 (22.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 3% in): Minnesota Governor Republican Primary • • Lisa Demuth (R): 11,268 (44.7%) • Mike Lindell (R): 8,200 (32.6%) • Kendall Qualls (R): 5,183 (20.6%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$330K

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Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.