Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $45B? Odds fell to 0% on Jul 29, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $45B? On , the market’s odds fell from 37.1¢ to 0.1¢ (-37 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match37.1¢
+5m37.1¢
+30m0.1¢
+1h0.1¢
1h move-37 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesReuters97%match
Meta: Outlook 2026 Capital Expenditures, Including Principal Payments on Finance Leases, to Be in the Range of $130-145 Billion

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$625

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Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $45B? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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