Will Leavitt say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? Odds fell to 48% on Aug 12, 2026

Will Leavitt say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? On Aug 12, 2026, 20:03 UTC, the market’s odds fell from 58.5¢ to 47.5¢ (-11 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 17-source news cluster, from nytimes.com.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 17-source news cluster, first seen Aug 12, 2026, 19:42 UTC. The triggering signal is listed first.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of Aug 30, 2026, 23:43 UTC.

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Will Leavitt say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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