Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee? Odds jumped to 100% on Aug 18, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee? On , the market’s odds jumped from 53¢ to 100¢ (+47 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from apnews.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match53¢
+5m100¢
+30m100¢
+1h100¢
1h move+47 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 18, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 53¢ → 100¢+47 ptsafter a signal from APws

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Yesapnews.com98%match
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — LaShonda Holloway wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 4th Congressional District
YesAPws98%match
WASHINGTON (AP) — LaShonda Holloway wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 4th Congressional District

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$21K

Follow this market

Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.