Will JD Vance say "Wife" during RNC Convention? Odds jumped to 100% on Sep 11, 2026

OpenMove

Will JD Vance say "Wife" during RNC Convention? On , the market’s odds jumped from 87.7¢ to 100¢ (+12.3 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from foxnews.

How did the odds move?

At match87.7¢
+5m100¢
+30m100¢
+1h100¢
1h move+12.3 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesfoxnews98%match
VP JD Vance gives a blunt warning while talking about his family and the recent birth of his fourth child during his keynote at the Republican midterm convention in Dallas. • • Vance praised the nuclear family, describing the moments he’s watched unfold between his newborn son and his older siblings while praising wife Usha’s “almost divine patience” raising their four children. • • He then turns political, criticizing Democrats over past remarks about the nuclear family before delivering his pointed response.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 100% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$4K

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Will JD Vance say "Wife" during RNC Convention? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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