Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention? Odds jumped to 100% on Sep 11, 2026
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Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention? On , the market’s odds jumped from 47¢ to 100¢ (+53 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Washington Examiner Reporter.
How did the odds move?
47¢
99.5¢
100¢
+53 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
YesWashington Examiner Reporter94%match
NEW JD Vance will say tonight, after linking Kirk's death to his own family: • "To the radicals who wish to abolish my family • or any other, we say: Stay the hell away from my kids."
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 100% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
$1K
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Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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