Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention? Odds jumped to 100% on Sep 11, 2026

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Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention? On , the market’s odds jumped from 89.5¢ to 100¢ (+10.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from aljazeera.com.

How did the odds move?

At match89.5¢
+5m89.5¢
+30m91.5¢
+1h100¢
1h move+10.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesaljazeera.com98%match
Live: Vance to talk fatherhood, Charlie Kirk in convention speech

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 94% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES94¢
NO6¢

Vol$551

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Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.