Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? Odds jumped to 100% on Aug 12, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? On , the market’s odds jumped from 33¢ to 100¢ (+67 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from apnews.com. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Aug 12, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 33¢ → 100¢+67 ptsafter a signal from APws
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
$36K
Follow this market
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.