Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by 5–10%? Odds fell to 0% on Aug 18, 2026

ResolvedMove

Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by 5–10%? On , the market’s odds fell from 34.5¢ to 0.1¢ (-34.4 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match34.5¢
+5m24.7¢
+30m0.1¢
+1h0.1¢
+24h0.1¢
1h move-34.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 18, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 32.7¢ → 0.1¢-32.6 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)

What moved the odds?

NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 46% in): Florida US House 25 Democratic Primary • • Jared Moskowitz (D): 12,227 (63.0%) • Oliver Larkin (D): 7,179 (37.0%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$377

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Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by 5–10%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for FL-25 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.