Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July? Odds fell to 0% on Aug 5, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July? On , the market’s odds fell from 25.4¢ to 0.1¢ (-25.3 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from dbnews. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match25.4¢
+5m0.1¢
+30m0.1¢
+1h0.1¢
1h move-25.3 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Nodbnews97%match
*US JULY ISM SERVICES PMI AT 54.1 VS 54.0; EST. 54.5

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$3K

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Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for ISM Services PMI - July 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.