Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? Odds jumped to 100% on Aug 5, 2026

Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? On Aug 5, 2026, 14:00 UTC, the market’s odds jumped from 38.5¢ to 100¢ (+61.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from dbnews. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 5, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

• Aug 5, 2026, 15:12 UTC100¢ → 50¢-49.9 ptsafter a signal from 47news.jp

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen Aug 5, 2026, 14:00 UTC. The triggering signal is listed first.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of Aug 30, 2026, 19:13 UTC.

Vol$11K

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Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for ISM Services PMI - July 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.