Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? Odds jumped to 95% on Oct 5, 2026

OpenMove

Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? On , the market’s odds jumped from 29¢ to 94.6¢ (+65.6 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Walter Bloomberg.

How did the odds move?

At match29¢
+5m29¢
+30m29.5¢
+1h94.6¢
1h move+65.6 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralWalter Bloomberg98%match
ISM SERVICES SEEN EASING SLIGHTLY AS PRICE PRESSURES RISE • • September ISM Services PMI is expected at 55.0, down slightly from 55.4 in August. • • Employment is seen improving to 48.8 from 47.8, while New Orders are expected to ease to 60.3 from 60.9. • • The bigger focus is inflation: Prices Paid is expected to rise to a fresh 50-month high of 73.3 from 72.6, reinforcing signs of renewed service-sector price pressures.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 30% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES30¢
NO71¢

Vol$8K

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Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for ISM Services PMI - September 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.