Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September? Odds fell to 5% on Oct 5, 2026

Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September? On Oct 5, 2026, 14:00 UTC, the market’s odds fell from 13¢ to 5¢ (-8 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from dbnews.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Oct 5, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

• Oct 5, 2026, 14:00 UTC13¢ → 5¢-8 ptsafter a signal from News

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen Oct 5, 2026, 14:00 UTC. The triggering signal is listed first.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of Oct 5, 2026, 17:38 UTC.

Vol$3K

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Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for ISM Services PMI - September 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.