Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August? Odds fell to 0% on Sep 3, 2026

ResolvedMove

Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August? On , the market’s odds fell from 11.3¢ to 0.1¢ (-11.2 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from News. The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match11.3¢
+5m0.1¢
+30m0.1¢
+1h0.1¢
1h move-11.2 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoNews97%match
*US AUG. ISM SERVICES PMI RISES TO 55.4 FROM 54.1; EST. 54.1
NoNews97%match
*US AUG. ISM SERVICES PMI RISES TO 55.4 FROM 54.1; EST. 54.1
NoWalter Bloomberg96%match
US AUG. ISM SERVICES PMI RISES TO 55.4 FROM 54.1; EST. 54.1

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$5K

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Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for ISM Services PMI - August 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.