Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q2 Software revenue be above $8.2B? Odds fell to 19% on Jul 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q2 Software revenue be above $8.2B? On , the market’s odds fell from 51.5¢ to 19¢ (-32.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match51.5¢
+5m51.5¢
+30m19¢
+1h19¢
1h move-32.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 51.5¢ → 19¢-32.5 ptsafter a signal from sec.gov
  • 51.5¢ → 19¢-32.5 ptsafter a signal from News
  • 51.5¢ → 19¢-32.5 ptsafter a signal from dbws.io

What moved the odds?

NoReuters99%match
Ibm Q2 Revenue USD 17,200 Million vs. Ibes Estimate USD 17,863 Million

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$502

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Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q2 Software revenue be above $8.2B? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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