Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? Odds fell to 0% on Sep 8, 2026

OpenMove

Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? On , the market’s odds fell from 11.5¢ to 0.1¢ (-11.4 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ).

How did the odds move?

At match11.5¢
+5m2.5¢
+30m1.1¢
+1h0.1¢
1h move-11.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NeutralDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Republican Primary • • Anthony DiLorenzo (R): 91 (41.4%) • Brian Cole (R): 69 (31.4%) • Hollie Noveletsky (R): 42 (19.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 5% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Republican Primary • • Anthony DiLorenzo (R): 1,424 (52.6%) • Hollie Noveletsky (R): 784 (29.0%) • Brian Cole (R): 313 (11.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 13% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Republican Primary • • Anthony DiLorenzo (R): 3,648 (50.4%) • Hollie Noveletsky (R): 2,045 (28.2%) • Brian Cole (R): 1,022 (14.1%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$63K

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Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for NH-01 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.