Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $45m at auction? Odds jumped to 99% on Jul 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $45m at auction? On , the market’s odds jumped from 90.2¢ to 98.9¢ (+8.7 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from spiegel.de. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match90.2¢
+5m90.8¢
+30m90.6¢
+1h98.9¢
1h move+8.7 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 89.9¢ → 99¢+9.1 ptsafter a signal from theguardian.com

What moved the odds?

Nospiegel.de99%match
Sotheby's: Tyrannosaurus rex skeleton auctioned for $43 million

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$3K

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Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $45m at auction? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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