Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9? Odds jumped to 73% on Jul 8, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9? On , the market’s odds jumped from 52.5¢ to 73¢ (+20.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from cnn.com. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 8, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 52.5¢ → 72.5¢+20 ptsafter a signal from zerohedge
- 88¢ → 75.5¢-12.5 ptsafter a signal from CBS Reporter
- 58¢ → 72¢+14 ptsafter a signal from washingtonpost.com
- 44.5¢ → 77.5¢+33 ptsafter a signal from zerohedge
- 77¢ → 66.5¢-10.5 ptsafter a signal from SSN Reporter
- 77¢ → 68¢-9 ptsafter a signal from NBC Reporter
- 76¢ → 63¢-13 ptsafter a signal from dbws.io
- 64.5¢ → 72.5¢+8 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
- 73¢ → 64.5¢-8.5 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
- 74¢ → 65.5¢-8.5 ptsafter a signal from nbcnews.com
- 74.5¢ → 65.5¢-9 ptsafter a signal from theguardian.com
- 73.5¢ → 65.5¢-8 ptsafter a signal from nbcnews.com
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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