Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7? Odds fell to 40% on Jul 6, 2026

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7? On Jul 6, 2026, 23:38 UTC, the market’s odds fell from 51¢ to 40¢ (-11 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Semafor Reporter. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 6, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

• Jul 6, 2026, 23:52 UTC68¢ → 38¢-30 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com

What moved the odds?

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of Aug 30, 2026, 15:45 UTC.

Vol$81K

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Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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