Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? Odds fell to 54% on Jul 7, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? On , the market’s odds fell from 83¢ to 53.5¢ (-29.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from ft.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match83¢
+5m83.5¢
+30m77.5¢
+1h53.5¢
+24h75¢
1h move-29.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralft.com99%match
Platner to ‘reflect’ on US Senate campaign after sexual assault allegations

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$88K

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Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.