Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? Odds jumped to 84% on Jul 6, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? On , the market’s odds jumped from 70.5¢ to 83.5¢ (+13 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Punchbowl Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match70.5¢
+5m74.5¢
+30m87.5¢
+1h83.5¢
+24h82¢
1h move+13 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 6, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 74¢ → 83.5¢+9.5 ptsafter a signal from washingtonpost.com
  • 72.5¢ → 83.5¢+11 ptsafter a signal from Punchbowl Reporter
  • 66¢ → 83.5¢+17.5 ptsafter a signal from foxnews.com

What moved the odds?

NoPunchbowl Reporter99%match
Voters of Tomorrow rescinds Platner endorsement and calls for him to drop out

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$88K

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Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.