Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? Odds jumped to 66% on Sep 21, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? On , the market’s odds jumped from 55¢ to 66¢ (+11 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Reuters. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match55¢
+5m65.5¢
+30m66¢
+1h66¢
+24h34.5¢
1h move+11 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NeutralReuters96%match
Germany’s Leading Economic Institutes Forecast German Growth of 1.3% in 2026 vs 0.6% Previously Forecast, Handelsblatt Reports Citing Unnamed Sources

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$20K

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Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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