Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Odds jumped to 99% on Jul 9, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? On , the market’s odds jumped from 78.5¢ to 99¢ (+20.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Jordanian Media. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match78.5¢
+5m78.5¢
+30m77.5¢
+1h99¢
1h move+20.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 9, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 78.5¢ → 99.4¢+20.9 ptsafter a signal from aa_arabic

What moved the odds?

NeutralJordanian Media99%match
World Cup analysts discuss Morocco's chances against France and their opportunity to reach the semi-finals. #France #Morocco #Here_is_the_Kingdom

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$535K

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Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.