Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Odds fell to 0% on Jul 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? On , the market’s odds fell from 35.5¢ to 0.1¢ (-35.4 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iranian Media. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match35.5¢
+5m35.5¢
+30m9¢
+1h0.1¢
1h move-35.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 11.5¢ → 0.1¢-11.4 ptsafter a signal from afp

What moved the odds?

NoIranian Media99%match
Big shock for the Roosters; Spain takes the lead over France with a controversial penalty The Spanish national team took the lead over France in the first half hour of the 2026 World Cup semi-final using a controversial penalty. A strange mistake by Lucas Digne and the referee's quick reaction put Mikel Oyarzabal behind the ball, who opened the goal for Mike Magnan with an unstoppable shot. @Nournews_IR

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$1.7M

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Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for World Cup: Nation to Reach Final — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.