Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? Odds fell to 27% on Oct 8, 2026
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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? On , the market’s odds fell from 35.5¢ to 27¢ (-8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from dbws.io.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 26% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.