Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Odds fell to 8% on Jul 15, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? On , the market’s odds fell from 54.5¢ to 7.5¢ (-47 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from nikkei.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match54.5¢
+5m54.5¢
+30m74¢
+1h7.5¢
1h move-47 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 15, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 54.5¢ → 0.1¢-54.4 ptsafter a signal from nikkei

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Yesnikkei.com99%match
Defending champions Argentina will face England in the FIFA World Cup semi-finals.
Yesnikkei99%match
Defending champions Argentina will face England in the FIFA World Cup semi-finals

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$1.1M

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Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for World Cup: Nation to Reach Final — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.