Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? Odds fell to 91% on Sep 24, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? On , the market’s odds fell from 99.6¢ to 90.9¢ (-8.6 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from NYP Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match99.6¢
+5m99.5¢
+30m98.3¢
+1h90.9¢
1h move-8.6 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesNYP Reporter96%match
Elon Musk at head table next to Melania Trump. Sam Altman at table behind. Tim Cook at head table by Susie Wiles
YesNYP Reporter96%match
Elon Musk at head table next to Melania Trump. Sam Altman at table behind. Tim Cook at head table

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$18K

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Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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