Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%? Odds jumped to 27% on Aug 5, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%? On , the market’s odds jumped from 14.1¢ to 27.4¢ (+13.3 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from cnn.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match14.1¢
+5m14.1¢
+30m14.2¢
+1h27.4¢
1h move+13.3 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 5, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 14.1¢ → 2.4¢-11.7 ptsafter a signal from ms.now

What moved the odds?

Neutralcnn.com94%match
Live: Democratic socialist McKinney will defeat incumbent Michigan Rep. Thanedar, CNN projects

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$4K

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Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.