Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 66% on Sep 17, 2026

OpenMove

Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 57.5¢ to 65.5¢ (+8 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Ukrainian Media.

How did the odds move?

At match57.5¢
+5m57.5¢
+30m57.5¢
+1h65.5¢
1h move+8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesUkrainian Media98%match
Tusk and Fico to visit Ukraine on Friday Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk and his Slovak counterpart Robert Fico will visit Ukraine on Friday, September 18. Tusk said this during a press conference with Austrian Chancellor Christian Stocker in Warsaw. ...

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 77% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES77¢
NO24¢

Vol$15K

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Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.