Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet? Odds fell to 22% on Jul 20, 2026

Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet? On Jul 20, 2026, 14:50 UTC, the market’s odds fell from 35.5¢ to 21.5¢ (-14 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from Guardian Reporter. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 20, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

• Jul 20, 2026, 14:51 UTC35.5¢ → 21.5¢-14 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk
• Jul 20, 2026, 14:54 UTC9.5¢ → 21¢+11.5 ptsafter a signal from mirror.co.uk
• Jul 20, 2026, 14:54 UTC9.5¢ → 21¢+11.5 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
• Jul 20, 2026, 14:56 UTC9.5¢ → 21¢+11.5 ptsafter a signal from Times Reporter
• Jul 20, 2026, 15:32 UTC20¢ → 7¢-13 ptsafter a signal from GBNews Reporter

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen Jul 20, 2026, 14:51 UTC. The triggering signal is listed first.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of Aug 30, 2026, 19:16 UTC.

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Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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