Will Darline Graham win at least 50% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff? Odds jumped to 92% on Aug 26, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will Darline Graham win at least 50% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff? On , the market’s odds jumped from 61¢ to 91.5¢ (+30.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Aug 26, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 62.5¢ → 91.5¢+29 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
- 63.5¢ → 91.5¢+28 ptsafter a signal from News
- 64¢ → 91.5¢+27.5 ptsafter a signal from News
- 66.5¢ → 91.5¢+25 ptsafter a signal from NewsNation Reporter
- 75¢ → 91.5¢+16.5 ptsafter a signal from Bloomberg Reporter
- 51.5¢ → 91.5¢+40 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
- 54.5¢ → 91.5¢+37 ptsafter a signal from NBC Reporter
- 63.5¢ → 91.5¢+28 ptsafter a signal from nbcnews.com
- 73.5¢ → 91.5¢+18 ptsafter a signal from cnn.com
- 73.5¢ → 91.5¢+18 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
- 74.5¢ → 91.5¢+17 ptsafter a signal from apnews.com
- 75.5¢ → 91.5¢+16 ptsafter a signal from AP Reporter
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Will Darline Graham win at least 50% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.