Will Darline Graham Nordone win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff? Odds jumped to 94% on Aug 25, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Darline Graham Nordone win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff? On , the market’s odds jumped from 48¢ to 94¢ (+46 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from MS NOW Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match48¢
+5m58¢
+30m82¢
+1h94¢
+24h99.6¢
1h move+46 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 25, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 49¢ → 94¢+45 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 51¢ → 94¢+43 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 58.5¢ → 94¢+35.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 59¢ → 94¢+35 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 63.5¢ → 94¢+30.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 78.5¢ → 94¢+15.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 65.5¢ → 98¢+32.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 82¢ → 98¢+16 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 82¢ → 98¢+16 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
  • 84¢ → 97.2¢+13.2 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 69.5¢ → 97.2¢+27.7 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
  • 69.5¢ → 97.2¢+27.7 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)

What moved the odds?

NeutralMS NOW Reporter95%match
Good evening from Sen. Darline Graham’s election night watch party in Columbia, S.C., where we’re awaiting results. • • Polls closed at 7pm. It’s a matchup between Graham and Rep. Ralph Norman after they advanced to today’s runoff. • • Winner takes on Dem Annie Andrews in November.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$18K

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Will Darline Graham Nordone win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.