Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? Odds fell to 56% on Jul 9, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? On , the market’s odds fell from 72¢ to 55.5¢ (-16.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from thetimes.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match72¢
+5m72¢
+30m71.5¢
+1h55.5¢
+24h69.5¢
1h move-16.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 9, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 51.5¢ → 62¢+10.5 ptsafter a signal from thesun.co.uk

What moved the odds?

Neutralthetimes.com99%match
Who is the real Count Binface? Comedian’s policies and odds of winning Clacton

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$581K

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Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Clacton by-election: 2nd place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.