Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June? Odds jumped to 71% on Jul 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June? On , the market’s odds jumped from 58¢ to 71¢ (+13 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from ifre.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match58¢
+5m59.5¢
+30m59.5¢
+1h71¢
1h move+13 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 70.5¢ → 0.1¢-70.4 ptsafter a signal from News
  • 70.5¢ → 0.1¢-70.4 ptsafter a signal from dbnews
  • 70.5¢ → 0.1¢-70.4 ptsafter a signal from dbnews

What moved the odds?

Neutralifre.com99%match
US GOVTS OUTLOOK - June core CPI: 0.26% holds 2.9% y/y, below drops to 2.8%, 0.36% reaches 3.0%

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$16K

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Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Core CPI YoY - June 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.