Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in June? Odds jumped to 100% on Jul 14, 2026

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in June? On Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 UTC, the market’s odds jumped from 49.4¢ to 100¢ (+50.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from dbnews. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

• Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 UTC49.4¢ → 100¢+50.5 ptsafter a signal from dbnews

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen Jul 14, 2026, 12:31 UTC. The triggering signal is listed first.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of Aug 30, 2026, 15:51 UTC.

Vol$8K

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Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in June? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Core CPI YoY - June 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.