Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Odds fell to 1% on Sep 20, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? On , the market’s odds fell from 9.5¢ to 1.1¢ (-8.4 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Walla Reporter. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match9.5¢
+5m6¢
+30m6¢
+1h1.1¢
1h move-8.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoWalla Reporter95%match
#BREAKING AfD is projected to win the north-eastern state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern on 38%, while German chancellor party CDU is expected to be trounced and get around 5%

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$32K

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Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.