Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? Odds jumped to 32% on Aug 10, 2026

OpenMove

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? On , the market’s odds jumped from 23.1¢ to 32¢ (+8.9 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Reuters.

How did the odds move?

At match23.1¢
+5m32.2¢
+30m30.3¢
+1h32¢
+24h30.1¢
1h move+8.9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoReuters98%match
Brazil Economists See Annual Ipca Inflation Index Reaching 5.02% in 2026 vs 5.03% in Previous Estimate - Cenbank Poll

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 29% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES29¢
NO71¢

Vol$17K

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Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Brazil Annual Inflation 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.