Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 68% on Jul 11, 2026
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Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 47.5¢ to 67.5¢ (+20 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 11, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 47.5¢ → 67.5¢+20 ptsafter a signal from alarabytv
- 49¢ → 68¢+19 ptsafter a signal from alarabytv
- 37.5¢ → 17.5¢-20 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media
- 37.5¢ → 71.5¢+34 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.