Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Odds fell to 42% on Jul 7, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? On , the market’s odds fell from 52.5¢ to 42¢ (-10.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from alarabytv. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match52.5¢
+5m52.5¢
+30m44¢
+1h42¢
+24h73.5¢
1h move-10.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 7, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 52¢ → 25¢-27 ptsafter a signal from alarabytv

What moved the odds?

Neutralalarabytv99%match
Egypt's chances against Argentina: Optimism despite facing the world champions #WorldCup2026

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$665K

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Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.