Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? Odds jumped to 100% on Jul 19, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? On , the market’s odds jumped from 72.6¢ to 100¢ (+27.4 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Iran State News Agency. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match72.6¢
+5m66.5¢
+30m88.7¢
+1h100¢
1h move+27.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesIran State News Agency95%match
2026 World Cup Final; Bitter end for Fernandez Enzo Fernandez was sent off in the 90th minute after receiving a second yellow card, reducing Argentina to 10 men. @IRNA_1313

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$178K

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Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for World Cup: Argentina Stage of Elimination — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.