Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? Odds jumped to 100% on Sep 9, 2026

OpenMove

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 83.9¢ to 99.5¢ (+15.6 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from Sky News Arabia.

How did the odds move?

At match83.9¢
+5m86.1¢
+30m99.6¢
+1h99.5¢
1h move+15.6 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesSky News Arabia95%match
Apple unveils a foldable iPhone

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 99% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES99¢
NO1¢

Vol$39K

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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for When will Apple release a foldable iPhone? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.