Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? Odds fell to 78% on Oct 12, 2026

OpenMove

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 87¢ to 78¢ (-9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from mk.co.kr.

How did the odds move?

At match87¢
+5m87¢
+30m87¢
+1h78¢
1h move-9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Nomk.co.kr94%match
Meta Challenges OpenAI and Anthropic… Unveils Highest-Performing AI ‘Muse Wonder’

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 86% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES86¢
NO14¢

Vol$14K

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Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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