Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? Odds jumped to 100% on Jul 18, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? On , the market’s odds jumped from 70.5¢ to 99.5¢ (+29 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from claudeai. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
70.5¢
98.5¢
98.6¢
99.5¢
+29 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Yesclaudeai96%match
Beginning July 20, Claude Fable 5 will be included in all Max and Team Premium plans, at 50% of limits. • • Pro and Team Standard users will continue to have access to Fable via usage credits, and will receive a one-time $100 credit. • • Demand for Fable has been challenging to predict, which is why we rolled it out to subscription plans in stages, extending access several times as we secured additional capacity.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
$138K
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Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.