Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? Odds jumped to 100% on Jul 12, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? On , the market’s odds jumped from 42¢ to 100¢ (+58 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from claudeai. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match42¢
+5m99.5¢
+30m99.7¢
+1h100¢
1h move+58 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Yesclaudeai99%match
We're extending Claude Fable 5 access on all paid plans, as well as keeping Claude Code’s weekly rate limits 50% higher, through July 19.
Yesstockmktnewz99%match
Anthropic owned Claude just posted this: • • "We're extending Claude Fable 5 access on all paid plans, as well as keeping Claude Code’s weekly rate limits 50% higher, through July 19."

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$59K

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Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.