Will Andy Burnham say "Iran" or "Iranian" during the next PMQ? Odds fell to 49% on Sep 2, 2026
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Will Andy Burnham say "Iran" or "Iranian" during the next PMQ? On , the market’s odds fell from 70¢ to 49¢ (-21 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from PA.
How did the odds move?
70¢
70¢
70¢
49¢
-21 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
NeutralPA94%match
Live: PM Andy Burnham's first PMQs •
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 45% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES45¢
NO55¢
$2K
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Will Andy Burnham say "Iran" or "Iranian" during the next PMQ? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.