Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? Odds jumped to 82% on Aug 11, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? On , the market’s odds jumped from 73.1¢ to 81.6¢ (+8.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match73.1¢
+5m52.5¢
+30m72¢
+1h81.6¢
1h move+8.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 11, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 60.7¢ → 91.8¢+31.1 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 66.1¢ → 96.6¢+30.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 72.9¢ → 96.4¢+23.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 63¢ → 96.9¢+34 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): Vermont Governor Democratic Primary • • Aly Richards (D): 71 (56.8%) • Amanda Janoo (D): 54 (43.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 2% in): Vermont Governor Democratic Primary • • Aly Richards (D): 482 (51.6%) • Amanda Janoo (D): 453 (48.5%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$15K

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Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.